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- Will anyone ever score 1000 goals?
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| Will anyone ever score 1000 goals? | |
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| Tweet Topic Started: Mar 14 2018, 08:50 PM (404 Views) | |
| + Pelador | Mar 14 2018, 08:50 PM Post #1 |
Crazy Awesome Legend
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Just wandering if anyone will ever score 1000 goals. Perhaps the footballers of the future are just on another level compared to the ones we see today? |
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| * Mitas | Mar 14 2018, 09:33 PM Post #2 |
It truly was a Shawshank redemption
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No. Teams don't play enough games to reach that mark. Even if you take the most games Messi has ever played in one season (60), he would have to play for over 16 seasons to reach 1000 games. He would then have to score a goal per game over that span. The only reason Pele scored more than a 1000 goals was because he played an enormous amount of exhibition games, averaging 60-70 games a season. That just wouldn't happen in the modern game. Plus, a lot of his goals came against vastly inferior opposition. The goal scoring prowess of Ronaldo and Messi is much more impressive, in my opinion. |
 "Then you've got the chance to do better next time." "Next time?" "Course. Doing better next time. That's what life is." | |
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| + Pelador | Mar 14 2018, 10:18 PM Post #3 |
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Crazy Awesome Legend
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If you scored a hat trick in every game and reached the final of every tournament then you would have over 200 goals in one season. Then you'd need to do it again for five more seasons. That's obviously not possible.  Scoring two goals every match would obviously take twice this long. But 10-15 seasons isn't unrealistic. I reckon you could get pretty close in theory. So long as you played most games and reached a lot of cup finals. |
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| * Mitas | Mar 14 2018, 10:45 PM Post #4 |
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It truly was a Shawshank redemption
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I guess it could be done if somehow a player managed to score 1.5 goals a game. If they played 54 games a season for 11 seasons (say from 21-31), scoring at a 1.5 goals per game ratio, they'd end up with 810 goals. That leaves them with just under 200 goals to make up in internationals and their early-late career spells, which is attainable (especially if you assume they reach 100 international caps and score at a similar rate). But that's still asking a lot. Messi and Ronaldo are goal scoring machines, yet they only just reach the goal a game rate in their best seasons. Can you really imagine a player being almost twice as good as those two? |
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"Then you've got the chance to do better next time." "Next time?" "Course. Doing better next time. That's what life is." | |
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| + Pelador | Mar 14 2018, 10:47 PM Post #5 |
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Crazy Awesome Legend
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Well I bet no one in the past ever thought anyone could be better than Pele or George Best but looks what's happened. |
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| * Mitas | Mar 14 2018, 11:03 PM Post #6 |
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It truly was a Shawshank redemption
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It's arguable whether Messi or Ronaldo are better, or just in the same league. Even if you believe they are better, which I do, as the quality of the best players evolves, so does the quality of their peers. Messi and Ronaldo are phenomenal, but for as phenomenal as they are, their goalscoring records for their careers are not so different from the great players of the past. |
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"Then you've got the chance to do better next time." "Next time?" "Course. Doing better next time. That's what life is." | |
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| + Emmeth | Mar 15 2018, 02:16 PM Post #7 |
I ♥ Yoeri
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If you count the national team a world class striker can upwards of 100 goals for their nation if they have a full career of no injuries and constant form. We'd have to see someone on Messi's level of play who's a bit more of a prolific scorer, which is hard to come by. It's possible we can see someone score 1000 career goals in our lifetime, but it's not entirely likely. |
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| + Ginyu | Mar 15 2018, 03:22 PM Post #8 |
Leve Feyenoord 1!
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Romário scored 1000 apparently. http://www.fifa.com/live-scores/news/y=2007/m=5/news=romario-completes-famous-000-128880.html |
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| + Emmeth | Mar 15 2018, 08:02 PM Post #9 |
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I ♥ Yoeri
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"According to his 'personal count'". |
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| * Mitas | Mar 15 2018, 08:41 PM Post #10 |
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It truly was a Shawshank redemption
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I think that's similar to Pele's claim in that it includes friendlies and other such games. Wikipedia only has him at 734 in club and international. |
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"Then you've got the chance to do better next time." "Next time?" "Course. Doing better next time. That's what life is." | |
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| + Emmeth | Mar 16 2018, 03:38 PM Post #11 |
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I ♥ Yoeri
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https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_men%27s_footballers_with_500_or_more_goals Here's the nice list of people with more than 500 goals in professional matches. They are probably not all 100% accurate, but it shouldn't be far off. |
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| * Mitas | Mar 16 2018, 07:44 PM Post #12 |
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It truly was a Shawshank redemption
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How have I never heard of Josef Bican? Looking at that list makes me less optimistic in a player scoring 1000 official career goals if it hasn't been done already. It seems players from older generations have better scoring rates than the more modern players. |
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"Then you've got the chance to do better next time." "Next time?" "Course. Doing better next time. That's what life is." | |
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| + Emmeth | Mar 16 2018, 09:45 PM Post #13 |
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I ♥ Yoeri
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I would have to agree with you, Mitas. |
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| TrunksinSwimmingTrunks | Apr 16 2018, 09:17 AM Post #14 |
Formerly known as daman
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If someone played 20 international games a year from the age of 18 until 34 and scored a goal a game, they would total 320 goals. It's unlikely, but imagine if a footballing country like Spain or Germany emerged in a weaker continent, like Asia. The best goals per match ratio in international football history is 0.95, which belongs to Kunishige Kamamoto from Japan, who achieved this from 1964-1977. A ratio of over 1.0 could feasibly be possible. Maybe even 1.5. Imagine if Christiano Ronaldo had been playing in the Asian Cup and its qualifiers, instead of the Euros. To achieve 1000 goals in senior professional football, they would then have to score 450-600 goals for their clubs (depending on how many international goals they achieve). To get 450 goals they would need 28.13 goals per season. To get 600 goals they would need 37.5 goals per season. Both of those figures are doable in a top European league and even more so in a weaker league, considering Messi already has over 540 domestic goals in the last 13 years (CR7 has 570+ in the last 16 years). So yes, I think it is possible. |
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